Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.152987 0.174236 0.197829 0.226047 0.258983 0.296335 0.342078
2026-01-04 0.120351 0.148802 0.183525 0.229384 0.288890 0.364223 0.467971
2026-01-11 0.101043 0.132573 0.173813 0.232471 0.315013 0.428922 0.601372
2026-01-18 0.088949 0.122370 0.168585 0.238437 0.343608 0.499797 0.756564
2026-01-25 0.078619 0.112445 0.161424 0.239324 0.363561 0.560164 0.907764
2026-02-01 0.070306 0.103974 0.154704 0.239074 0.380682 0.617974 1.066470
2026-02-08 0.063130 0.096124 0.147605 0.236677 0.393193 0.669463 1.224839
2026-02-15 0.057066 0.089181 0.140885 0.233612 0.403530 0.718269 1.388776
2026-02-22 0.053477 0.085750 0.139349 0.238990 0.429501 0.800237 1.639146
2026-03-01 0.048895 0.080119 0.133360 0.235414 0.437813 0.848983 1.830333
2026-03-08 0.045514 0.076164 0.129783 0.235706 0.453538 0.915532 2.079500
2026-03-15 0.042486 0.072503 0.126290 0.235603 0.468286 0.982595 2.348403
2026-03-22 0.040435 0.070448 0.125616 0.241192 0.496530 1.086931 2.748806
2026-03-29 0.038253 0.067940 0.123820 0.244273 0.519923 1.185374 3.167412
2026-04-05 0.036299 0.065664 0.122209 0.247494 0.544193 1.291459 3.646159
2026-04-12 0.034855 0.064222 0.122077 0.253887 0.577149 1.427704 4.270650
2026-04-19 0.033005 0.061800 0.119681 0.254837 0.596809 1.532724 4.834082
2026-04-26 0.031212 0.059329 0.116922 0.254567 0.613311 1.632901 5.422614
2026-05-03 0.029383 0.056623 0.113389 0.251991 0.623281 1.716404 5.985639
2026-05-10 0.027656 0.053986 0.109753 0.248697 0.630760 1.794345 6.562794
2026-05-17 0.026765 0.053040 0.109757 0.254476 0.664952 1.966780 7.622370
2026-05-24 0.025243 0.050608 0.106178 0.250634 0.670468 2.045456 8.305538
2026-05-31 0.024124 0.048972 0.104275 0.250948 0.688631 2.173272 9.292096